Obama Starts Shaky, McCain Self Destructs

Bill Ayers. Yes, that guy. As much as I hate to admit it, Bill Ayers was the name of the game tonight. Let’s just face it. Maybe six months ago this would have been big news. Maybe at an earlier time McCain could have capitalized on the tenuous relationship between Obama and the former member of the Weathermen. But timing in politics, as in so many other disciplines, is everything. Tonight was too late. The moment Ayers’ name rolled off McCain lips signalled the death knell of his presidential aspirations. Sure, our recent financial troubles laid the lid on the coffin, but McCain’s reliance on Rovian attacks such as his Ayers rhetoric and Palin’s “palling around with terrorists” remark pounded in the nails.
None of these were smart moves, though they arguably became necessary after Obama started creeping ahead in the polls. Obama’s surge put McCain in a tailspin. He went negative to distract the public from his policy weaknesses; the less time he spent discussing policy issues, the more time he had to devote to negativity, and so a cycle was born. It rings of a Coen Brothers plot; blunders get covered by bigger ones until a hilarious tragedy results. Not so funny for John McCain. Especially since the biggest complaint among undecided voters is that McCain spends too much time on meanness, and not enough on actual issues.
Until McCain brought up the Ayers issue tonight, I’d say that he was winning the debate. Obama came off as nervous, cagey even. But he addressed the Ayers question in stride, visibly irritating McCain. Thereafter McCain wouldn’t let the issue go, and therein lay his folly. Bill Ayers was in no way a major part of the debate, as far as substantive discussions go. But he served as McCain’s breaking point, exposing his desperation, and more importantly, his frustration with a failing campaign built on a lifetime of legislative experience and political will.
And now, a brief rundown of the debate questions:
Question 1: How is your economic plan better?: Winner: Tie
- Obama relied heavily on his talking points, came off as over-rehearsed
- But he was able to lay out his tax plan in a clear concise manner
Question 2: What Programs Will You Cut?: Winner: McCain
- Obama again relies on his talking points referring to energy and health care programs as investments in the future. He dodges the question.
- McCain goes into impressive detailed specifics.
- In talking about reaching across the aisle, Obama seems to disparage environmentalists and labor unions.
Question 3: What’s with all the negativity?: Winner: Tie
- Both candidates whined about the negative ads from each side.
- Obama attacks first and brings up the animosity being expressed at McCain rallies.
- McCain pretends to be insulted that Obama is questioning the integrity of his supporters.
- Obama smoothly handles the Ayers & ACORN issues, but appears uncomfortable.
- McCain is visibly irritated with the handling of the Ayers question.
Question 4: Is your running mate fit to be president?: Winner: Obama
- Obama slyly discredits Palin by saying it was up to the American people to judge her credentials.
- Obama praises Biden without seeming creepy/weird.
- McCain heaps the praise on Palin. (side note: on CNN’s realtime poll of Ohio undecided voters, the female voters had a decidedly chilly response to these comments, whereas the male response was off the charts)
Question 5: Energy Policies?: Winner: Obama
- Obama relies on his energy talking points; tired but clear and effective.
- McCain harps on drilling, and argues semantics with Obama who said he’d “look” at drilling as a viable alternative. Comes off as snarky.
- Obama = Talking points; but his arguments are delivered strongly, and are more compelling than McCain’s plan.
- McCain tries to make the $5,000 healthcare credit seem monumental; he is less than persuasive.
- McCain tries to push the idea of an unregulated health care market, Obama misses an opportunity to challenge him on the issue of deregulation generally.
Question 7: Future of the Supreme Court?: Winner: Obama
- Obama delivers a passionate and well reasoned defense of Roe v. Wade, making reference to families, religion, and education.
- Obama’s explanation of the abortion debate comes off as a bit professorial.
- McCain takes a compassionate tone, and highlights the necessity to protect the unborn; he claims that pro-choice groups use the “mother’s health exception” loosely.
Question 8: Improving Education?: Winner: Obama
- At this point I’m paying attention to style and not substance.
- Obama’s at ease; McCain seems tense
Photo by the Center for American Progress Action Fund used under a Creative Commons license.

Nice blog. Objective and enlighening!
franknitty41
October 15, 2008 at 8:30 pm
I thought you nailed it! MCCain needed a knockdown and felt he was unable to do it.
Devin Willis
October 15, 2008 at 8:37 pm
“Snarky” was the exact word I used last night to describe McCain to Kevin!
Eileen C.
October 16, 2008 at 8:17 am
Yeah, I think you pretty much nailed it. McCain looked like it hurt to stay quiet while Obama spoke and Obama at least looked like he was listening though clearly disagreeing.
mercurial scribe
October 16, 2008 at 12:13 pm
So, so tired of the “what will you cut” question. Nobody knows exactly what the financial situation will be when they take office, so it is meaningless to demand specifics. You did forget to mention the moment when Obama pointed out that you cannot simultaneously freeze the budget and increase funding for autism. I also think Obama deserves that negativity point – since when are ads in disagreement with your opponents policy suggestions attack ads? And please, his feelings are hurt? Also, McCain lied about apologizing for/repudiating the race hatred that his lovely VP has stoked. I wouldn’t say I’m an entirely unbiased viewer though
)
Jamie
October 17, 2008 at 12:49 pm
Bill Ayers would be a tough sell for McCain even six months ago. Joe the Plumber doesn’t remember anything about American history that’s older than the last Super Bowl. References to the Weathermen might make sense to political junkies, but most people just think of some guy with bad hair reporting on inclement weather.
J-Dog
October 17, 2008 at 2:29 pm